SethSpeaks Top 50 Twins Prospects
*Top 10 posted on June 4, 2008
Here is a consolidated view of all fifty prospects highlighted in the SethSpeaks.net Top 50 Twins Prospects list, so please e-mail me or leave Comments below.
SethSpeaks Top 50 Twins Prospects
#50
Tim Lahey
- RHP 26
Spring
Teams:
Chicago Cubs, Philadelphia Phillies
2008 Teams: Ft. Myers Miracle, New Britain Rockcats, Rochester Red Wings
Acquired: Twins 20th round draft pick in 2004 out of Princeton
I have traditionally left the 50th spot in this ranking for an unheralded relief pitcher, to highlight an unlikely performance. At the end of last season, Lahey and Armando Gabino were both put in the 50th spot. Since that time, Lahey was the #1 overall pick in the Rule V draft by the Tampa Bay Rays. He was traded/sold to the Chicago Cubs with whom he spent most of spring training. He was put on waivers and the Philadelphia Phillies claimed him. Thats when the season started, but the Phillies needed a roster spot, so they offered Lahey back to the Twins, who were thrilled to have him back. As you know, Lahey was drafted out of Princeton as a catcher, so although he is really too old to be thought of any higher than this on a prospect list, he is still very new to pitching. He throws hard and is still working on developing his other pitches, so he still has the potential to be a very good middle reliever at the big league level. In 14 games with the Red Wings so far this year, Lahey is 3-4 with six saves with a 3.22 ERA. In 22.1 innings, he has an incredible 27 strikeouts to two walk ratio which makes a person take notice. He will continue to be the closer for the Red Wings unless or until Bobby Korecky returns. Should the Twins decide they need a bullpen arm in another month or two, Lahey has put himself in position to be that guy.
2008 Projection: bullpen in Rochester, closing while Korecky up with Twins
Potential: solid middle relievers and set up men
Could be in Minnesota in: 2008
#
49
Garrett
Olson UT 23
2008 Teams: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 4th round pick in 2006 out of Franklin Pierce College
Much was made of the fact that Olsons college played many of their games with wood bats. After a solid short season, he moved up to Beloit where he really struggled. Back in Beloit for a second season, Olson has been a middle of the lineup utility player for the Snappers. That isnt meant as a negative at all. Olson has played 3B, SS, 2B, 1B, LF and DH this season. He has shown some extra base pop this season. He also already has nine stolen bases. Regardless of the position he is playing, Olson does a nice job with the glove. I would expect that Olson will take off here with the bat in the coming weeks and by seasons end, he will have some very good numbers. He is now hitting .259/.305/.346, but I would expect all three numbers to increase proportionately.
2008 Projection: play different places in Beloit
Potential: utility player who could play four or five positions
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
48
Brandon
Roberts OF 23
2008 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Acquired from Reds in 2006 for Juan Castro, 7th round pick in 2005 out of Cal Poly
Speed
is the name of the game for Roberts. He is very fast. However, in 2008, he
has been out of the lineup most of the time due to a hamstring injury that he
tried to return from too quickly. He has played in just eight games and was
hitting just .188 in his short time. If Roberts doesnt get back to the
lineup pretty quickly, 2008 will be a wasted season for him. Its doubly
unfortunate because it was to be his second year with New Britain. This
ranking is based primarily on the fact that in 2007, after hitting horribly
in April, hit at least .300 in each remaining month. If Roberts can get back
in the lineup and be healthy, he could move up this list throughout the season.
If not, I wouldnt anticipate seeing him on this list after the season.
2008 Projection: hopefully healthy soon in New Britain
Potential: base stealing fourth/fifth outfield - see Tyner, Jason
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#4
7
Loek
Van Mil RHP 23
2008 Teams: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: signed as free agent from The Netherlands, July, 2005
Loek Van Mil has been moved ahead slowly, step-by-step, very cautiously. He has a couple of things going against him. First, he is from The Netherlands, where baseball is becoming more popular but still not as advanced as other areas of the world. Second, he is 7 feet, 1 inch tall. If he were to make it to the big leagues, he would be the tallest in history. Van Mil is known for his athleticism, considering his height. But, it is very difficult for a tall pitcher, it seems, to develop their release point and they seem to struggle with their control later into their careers. Of course, the positive is that if they are able to find that release point, the downward angle of their pitches is incredibly difficult for a hitter. Van Mil is a reliever, and he isnt particularly young for the Midwest League. But in 14 games, he is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA. In 24 innings, he has 27 strikeouts, and although ten walks is not great and still a little high, it is acceptable at this level. Remember, Adam Wainright grew four inches in one offseason while still in the minor leagues, and it took him at least two years to regain his control. The Padres Chris Young did not start pitching well until he was 26. Even Randy Johnson wasnt Randy Johnson, until he turned 26. In fact, as a 25 year old, with the Mariners, mind you, he walked 26 and struck out 26 batters. Do we know what Van Mil will become? Of course not. But I do like that progress that he has made and hope he can continue to improve.
2008 Projection: I'd like to see a midseason promotion to Ft. Myers
Potential: middle relief
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
46
Brian
Kirwan RHP 20
2008 Teams: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 11th round pick in 2005 out of a California high school
In reviewing my Top 50 from this time last year, I noticed that it was about this time that Kirwan was promoted to Beloit last year. He had a couple of solid starts before really not doing well the rest of the season. Well, he teased us again in 2008 by giving up three or less runs in five of his first six starts. Since then, he has struggled. Now, I still believe that Kirwan has a chance, but I am quite alarmed by his lack of strikeouts. In his 52.2 innings, he has been hittable (63 hits) and added 18 more walks to the mix for a 1.54 WHIP. His 23 walks are incredibly low and make the 18 walks look even worse. Now again, you try not to make too big a deal out of the numbers, and especially in the low levels. Again, Kirwan fell in the draft because of a knee injury, not an arm or shoulder injury. That is important to remember. I do think he needs to have a good second half though.
2008 Projection: full season in the Beloit rotation
Potential: #4 starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#45 Anthony Slama RHP 24
2008 Teams: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: Twins 39th round pick in 2006 out of San Diego
2-0 with eight saves and a 0.34 ERA. 43 walks and nine strikeouts in just 26.1 innings. How is this guy not ranked higher on the list? Hes 24 and in A ball. Carlos Gomez and Delmon Young are second year big leaguers at the age of 22. Kevin Slowey is in his second big league season and hes 23. Its hard for me to get too excited about a 24 year old reliever dominating High-A ball like Slama is. That said, the numbers that he has put up since being a 39th pick in 2005 out of college have been incredible and can not be ignored. Along with Robert Delaney, I think that they are ready to move up to New Britain and show what they really have. If they can succeed there, then it is note worthy. Until then, I am going to be a bit hesitant. I do believe that Slama has the better stuff than Delaney, so if he can get promoted and succeed, he will certainly move up this list.
2008 Projection: Promoted to Ft. Myers after Rob Delaney is.
Potential: Very solid set up man
Could be in Minnesota in: 2010
#44 Edward Ovalle OF 22
2008 Teams: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: signed as free agent from Dominican Republic in 2002
Ovalle is in his second season at Ft. Myers and he has become a regular. He has done very well and earned the playing time. In doing so, he has earned a place on this prospect list. To this point this season, he is hitting .301/.343/.481 with four doubles, six triples and four homers. He is also six of seven in stolen base attempts. Ovalle does a little bit of everything well without doing any one thing great. Hes a solid outfielder with a good arm. Hes got good speed and is a solid base runner without necessarily being a burner. He has hit for average, and he has hit for a little power. In other words, he is a solid player and the main reason I am choosing to include him is because clearly he is learning a lot, taking it into the games and showing that improvement. And then note that although hes been in the Twins system for six years, he is still just 22 years old. I cant speak for anyone else, but I cant help but wonder if an Alex Romero comparable would be appropriate.
2008 Projection: season in the outfield for Ft. Myers
Potential: solid all-around player, not great at any one thing, but won't hurt a team either in a role
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
43
Danny
Lehmann C 22
2008
Team:
Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 8th round pick in 2007 out of Rice University
As
I have said before, I was surprised when Lehmann was still available when the
Twins made their 8th round pick in 2007. Lehmann, a Denver native,
played at that national power house that is Rice University where he led a
great pitching staff. He can also hit a little bit. Right now, he is
splitting some time with Jair Fernandez and Greg Yersich, but I just have a
feeling that Lehmann is going to find a way to keep advancing. He will hit
some, but his defense is equally impressive, and his leadership is
unquestioned. To this point, he is hitting .286/.353/.416 with seven extra
base hits in 77 at bats. He also has seven walks with just eight strikeouts.
2008 Projection: catching and some DHing in Beloit
Potential: solid backup catcher behind plate and with bat
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#4
2
Santos
Arias RHP 21
2008 Teams: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: signed as free agent from Dominican Republic in Feb, 2005.
Arias began the season in Extended Spring Training, but with injuries, he got an opportunity to start with the Snappers. He took advantage of it and should remain in the rotation throughout the season. He has gone 28.2 innings over his five starts. He has given up just 22 hits and five walks. He has 27 strikeouts. Those are the types of numbers that you like to see in a young pitcher. In his most recent start, he went seven innings and gave up just three hits. In his first Beloit start, he threw six shutout innings. Now, the perceived concern with Arias that I can already hear is that he is tiny. He is listed at 5-11 and just 162 pounds, so the Ramon Ortiz comparisons will likely start soon.
2008 Projection: Extended Spring Training, then E-town
Potential: back of the rotation starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
41
Jose
Morales C 25
2008 Teams: Rochester Red Wings
Acquired: Twins 3rd round pick in 2001 out Academia de Providencia (Puerto Rico)
How great was it last year to see Morales go 3-3 when he was finally called up last season? How sad was it to see him get hurt in that same game and for his season to end. When he was sent down early in spring training, it was surprising and yet, it allowed him more game time to work through his injury. But then he got off to an absolutely horrible start with the bat. In April, he raised his average to .233, but he has hit .377 in May and is now at .307 on the season. He has again solidified himself as the Twins #3, or emergency catcher. He has gotten hot and is showing that 2007 was not a fluke. Based on his offense the last month, I would feel comfortable with him getting playing time with the Twins. Of course, lets remember too that he is an offensive catcher, so there would be a significant drop defensively if Morales had to play.
2008 Projection: catching for the Red Wings, Twins 3rd catcher (if needed)
Potential: solid backup catcher
Could be in Minnesota in: 2008
#
40
Dan Berlind - RHP
20
2008 Teams: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 7th round pick in 2007 out of Los Angeles Pierce College
There was talk early in the season about Berlind being moved to the bullpen or shipped back to Ft. Myers for Extended Spring Training because he got off to a slow start. And had it happened, it should not have hurt his prospect status. Berlind signed just last season and pitched for the GCL Twins. The "normal" progression for a pitcher this young would be for him to be in Elizabethton this season. Although he is just 3-4, he has a solid 3.77 ERA. But the improvement that Berlind has shown is very impressive. In four April starts, he averaged less than four innings and had an ERA of 5.40. In five May starts, he has averaged just over six innings per start and has an ERA of 2.77. As a tall, projectable righty, he needs to gain better control, something that did improve from April to May, but he does have a high ceiling.
2008 Projection: Beloit rotation
Potential: 4th starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2012
#39 Angel Morales OF 18
2008 Teams: Extended Spring Training
Acquired: Twins 3rd round pick in 2007 out of Puerto Rico Baseball Academy
This is a prospect ranked solely on potential. The term "five tool prospect" is probably uttered far too frequently, but when it is, you can't help but take notice. When comparisons to the likes of Carlos Beltran happen, that can not be a negative. Morales is in Extended Spring and I would expect that he will spend the summer in Elizabethton. Morales has the potential to move up this list quite a bit with a solid campaign. Even if he is just average or slightly above, he will remain a solid prospect just because he is so young. You know, I don't have him on my Top 50 list, probably because he hasn't officially played in the Twins system yet, but Reggie Williams fits into this category as well.
2008 Projection: Extended Spring Training, then E-town
Potential: 5-tool athlete, All Star caliber, 30/30 type
Could be in Minnesota in: 2013
#38
Michael Tarsi LHP 2
2008 Team: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 12th round pick in 2007 out of U. of Connecticut
Again, this is another case in which you can't just look at the numbers. Tarsi on the season is just 2-6 with an ERA of 6.09. However, you have to again look at improvement. With Beloit, you also have to factor in weather conditions in Wisconsin in early April. In his first three starts, he went 0-3 with a 16.67 ERA and a 2.82 WHIP in 11.1 innings. In his seven starts since, he has gone 2-3 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP in 43.1 innings. In other words, he is lasting longer and pitching much better. Some of that can be attributed to the defense playing much better behind him. Tarsi is not an overpowering type at all, but at 6-8, he could add more velocity but could also have a great arm angle. He is very thin and pitched in the north in college, so there is plenty of room for continued improvement.
2008 Projection: starting in Beloit
Potential: potential #4 starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2012
#3
7
Steve Singleton
2B 22
2008 Teams: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 3rd round pick in 2007 out of U. of San Diego
Singleton is back on the prospect list after not making the post-season list last year. His 2007 season was one in which he was never fully healthy and much of the time played through it. With his right arm issues, it is likely that Singleton's future would be on the 2B side of 2B, he could also play SS very well. He is a highlight real waiting to happen. Unfortunately, when a guy gets labeled as a good glove guy, the assumption is that he can not hit. Well, Singleton also have a track record of being able to hit. He hit .349 for the Snappers in April. He hasn't hit as well in May, but I fully believe that he is ready to move up to Ft. Myers as soon as Brian Dinkelman moves up to New Britain (which should be right after the Florida State League All-Star game. As he plays more and more and gains arm strength, he should only get better.
2008 Projection: Beloit infield, but should move up to Ft. Myers in second half
Potential: utility infielder with bat and glove to be regular 2B
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
36
Cole DeVries RHP 23
2008 Team: Ft. Myers
Acquired: Free Agent signing in 2006 out of U. of Minnesota
The Ft. Myers starting rotation is full of top prospects. Eden Prairie native Cole DeVries is the least known and least touted starter on the staff, but he has certainly been very good. He was a solid starter for the Snappers last year throughout the season and their impressive playoff run. That level of success has continued into the 2008 season with the Miracle. So far in ten starts (11 games) for the Miracle, he is 4-4 with a 3.70 ERA. His relief outing was his first outing of the year. It didn't go so well. Without that one appearance (so, just as a starter), his ERA drops all the way down to 3.16. If you want to get even more recent, in his last three starts, he has given up one earned run in 18 innings. In that time, he has allowed 12 hits and walked four. A lot of times undrafted guys get overlooked in rankings, and they certainly have to continue to improve their games to keep getting noticed and moving up the system. But DeVries has consistently performed and moved up this list. He is just 6-2 and 185 pounds. If he can get better and gain a little extra velocity while perfecting his secondary pitches, he can keep moving up the system.
2008 Projection: starting in Ft. Myers
Potential: long relief/5th starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
35
Jay Rainville RHP 22
2008 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins 2nd round pick in 2004 out of Bishop Hendrickson H.S. in Rhode Island
Ten days ago, I had Rainville much lower on this list. Two weeks ago, Rainville was sitting at 2-5 with a 9.00 ERA. In 36 innings, he had given up 36 earned runs on 58 hits and 12 walks. That is a horrible 1.94 WHIP. He is still young. He's in just his second season after missing all of the 2006 season after nerve/shoulder surgery. He was a guy I expected would have a strong season and move up the list a bunch. Instead, he has gone the other direction. But, his last two starts are at least encouraging. In those past two starts, he is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA. In 13 innings, he has allowed just five hits and three walks while striking out 11. So, did he figure out something mechanically, or did he pitch well against bad teams? What do we make out of two great starts after starting off so poorly. Weather? Defense? Comfort with the mound? I still believe that Rainville is worth watching, and I think he'll have a solid second half.
2008 Projection: starting in New Britain
Potential: #4-5 starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2010
#3
4
Jason Pridie OF 24
2008 Team: Rochester Red Wings
Acquired: in offseason 2007 trade from Tampa Bay Rays with Delmon Young and Brendan Harris for Matt Garza, Jason Bartlett and Eduardo Morlan
I think it is safe to say that Pridie's 2008 season has been incredibly disappointing to this point. Pridie had a great year last year between the Rays AA and AAA affiliates, showing plenty of pop in his bat and playing solid defense. He had a good spring training and some believed he should or could have made the opening day roster. Instead, he was sent down to Rochester to play every day. As of today, he is hitting just .233/.268/.320 with five doubles, six triples and a homer. Considering all of the extra base hits he had in 2007, 2008 has not been good so far. There is a lot of season to go, but one alarming stat is the number of strikeouts he has. In 192 at bats, he has struck out 55 times. One positive is that he is 9/10 in stolen base attempts. I think Pridie will be fine, and with his ability to play all three outfield positions, I still believe that by 2009 he will be the Twins fourth OF and provide the Twins with a significantly better version of Jason Tyner.
2008 Projection: around the OF in Rochester
Potential: potential 4th outfielder
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
33
Jair Fernandez C 21
2008 Teams: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: in late March trade with Seattle for R. A. Dickey
Considering that R. A. Dickey never actually played for the Twins or in the organization, to acquire a player with as much potential as Fernandez is really quite impressive. He spent the 2007 season in the Midwest League as well, so this is a repeat year, but he has really performed well. To this point, he is hitting .326/.356/.432 with seven doubles and a homer. He is doing some catching, but he is also getting a few at bats at DH. The catching situation in Beloit is a bit frustrating in that Fernandez, Danny Lehman and Greg Yersich are all getting about the same amount of playing time. So far, it is Fernandez who is separating himself from the other two. At 6-1 and plenty of room to grow, he could develop into a very solid backstop.
2008 Projection: Beloit catcher and DH
Potential: solid backup catcher, could be regular
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
32
Zach Ward RHP 24
2008 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: in July 31, 2006 trade with Cincinnati Reds for Kyle Lohse
A year after losing a frustrating 17 games for Ft. Myers, Ward is now in the bullpen and showing just how good a pitcher with a great slider can be. The role of relief pitcher compared to that of a starter is much different and it is an adjustment that Ward has made very cleanly to this point. Now, Ward is now 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA which is excellent and probably warrants inclusion on this list anyway. However, consider that he has given up three runs combined between his past two starts which had increased his ERA from 0.30. There is no current plan to move him back to the starting rotation, and these types of numbers get a guy noticed! The positives include that he has great stuff, and that with his sinker, he gets two ground outs per fly out. He has also struck out 29 hitters in 32 innings of work. The one thing that he does have to improve up is his control as he has 15 walks already.
2008 Projection: starting for New Britain
Potential: big league reliever
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
31
Oswaldo Sosa RHP 22
2008 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins signed as free agent in 2002 out of Venezuela
Without looking, I think that Sosa is the prospect who fell the most since last September when he was just outside the Top 10. Sosa has never been a great control artist, but he was never as bad as he has been so far this year. In 46 innings, he has 30 walks with 33 strikeouts. For him to be successful, he will have to find the strike zone. In ten starts so far, he has pitched into the sixth inning just three times, never going more than six innings. He is still getting groundouts when he does get outs. But Sosa is 6-4 and 225 pounds, so I really do believe that my comparison to Carlos Silva makes a lot of sense. Sosa will have to show a lot in the second half to regain his prospect status in my mind.
2008 Projection: starting in New Britain
Potential: potential #4 starter, Carlos Silva
Could be in Minnesota in: 2010
#30 Danny Rams C 18
2008 Teams: Extended Spring Training
Acquired: Twins 2nd round pick in 2007 out of Gulliver Prep (Miami, FL)
Rams is one of just a couple of guys on this list for whom we have pretty much no statistical background. In fact, the only professional at bats Rams has officially had are some at bats with the GCL Twins last summer. Based on those at bats alone, he probably wouldn't rank this high. However, there are only so many hitters with power potential out there, and Rams is certainly one of them. There are even less power potential catchers. Now, Rams is primarily known for his bat, and there has already been thought of him moving to 1B or being more of a DH. However, I have been told that he has been very impressive in Extended Spring with his footwork, quickness and his strong arm. It will be good to see him get a summer of at bats in Elizabethton. Power Potential is wonderful. Maybe he's a right-handed Justin Morneau (who was drafted as a catcher). Or, maybe he's Hank Sanchez. We really won't know for several years.
2008 Projection: Extended Spring, then catching/DHing for E-Town
Potential: power-hitting catcher, 1B or DH
Could be in Minnesota in: 2012
#29
Mike McCardell - RHP
23
2008 Teams: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 6th round pick in 2007 out of Kutztown University of Pennsylvania
Eight walks. Ninety-Five strikeouts. In 63 innings. Seriously, that is one of the more amazing statistical lines I have seen around the Twins. That, of course, is what McCardell did last year with the GCL Twins and the E-Twins. That alone puts him high on this list. McCardell missed several weeks this season with elbow soreness. He was able to just rest and rehab it and has come back in the last week to ten days successfully. In 27 innings this year, McCardell has 35 strikeouts, but he already has nine walks. I say that fully understand that isn't too bad. McCardell has very impressive stuff. I would have liked to see him get up to Ft. Myers yet in 2008, and he very well still could with some strong outings over the next month. With the elbow concerns though, they should be as patient as necessary because he has the type of arm that could make it all the way to the big leagues.
2008 Projection: split season between Beloit and Ft. Myers
Potential: #3 starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2010
#
28
Yohan Pino RHP 24
2008 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: signed as Free Agent from Venezuela in 2004
I happen to think that Pino is vastly underrated by everyone, and from this ranking, I am certain that I have him ranked too low. Simply put, Pino always gets the job done. Whether it is working long relief or starting, he does his job. He is tiny, very skinny. He doesn't throw very hard, but he just knows how to pitch, how to get the opponent out. He was injured playing ball this winter and missed some time to start spring training, but he came back and pitched very well until recently when he landed on the disabled list. Hopefully he won't be there long because he is such a constant for a New Britain rotation that has been anything but. On the year, he is 1-2 with a 3.25 ERA. In 36 innings, he has just 23 strikeouts, but that is alright when he has just six walks. I can't say that Pino will be a top of the rotation type, but he could be a very solid back of the rotation or long relief type of guy with the Twins.
2008 Projection: Should stay in the New Britain rotation.
Potential: long reliever
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
27
Philip Humber
RHP 25
2008 Teams: Rochester Red Wings
Acquired: in March 2008 trade with Carlos Gomez, Kevin Mulvey and Deolis Guerra from the Mets for Johan SantanaWhen Philip Humber was named as one of the four players the Twins received from the Mets in the Johan Santana trade, I actually thought that the Twins may have been very lucky to have him included. His stock had dropped because of his Tommy John surgery in July of 2005. He recovered quickly and was back on a AA mound in July of 2006. He made his big league debut in the big apple that September. Last year was his first full season back and he put up league average type of AAA numbers, but that isn't bad in the PCL either. For that reason, I thought that 2008 would be another step forward. Humber had a solid spring with the Twins although he was not really tested. He has really struggled with the Red Wings so far this spring. All together, he is 2-5 with a 5.19 ERA. In 50.1 innings, he has given up 60 hits. That's not good, but when you add in another 27 walks, that is just too many base runners. I am one to believe that a solid pitching prospect should remain in the starting rotation until it is just obvious that he can't handle it. Humber is close to that point. I would venture that as soon as one of the AA starters is deemed ready for a AAA promotion, Humber could go to the bullpen. I believe he could be an important bullpen piece at the big league level.
2008 Projection: OF in New Britain
Potential: 4th OF that could start, solid all-around
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
26
Ryan Mullins LHP 24
2008 Teams: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins 3rd round pick in 2005 out of Vanderbilt
Matt Garza. Kevin Slowey. Brian Duensing. Ryan Mullins. In the 2005 draft, Mullins was the fourth college starting pitcher that the Twins selected, and all four have done well. Mullins is the least talked about of the group, but he has really pitched well the last year. Last year, he started in Ft. Myers, moved up to New Britain, then got a few spot starts with Rochester before returning to the Rockcats. That is where he is again this year. He is 5-3 with a 3.38 ERA. In 61.1 innings, he has given up 62 hits. He only has 36 strikeouts, so his 24 walks really stand out. He is a tall, lanky lefty, standing 6-6, but he is a finesse pitcher. He needs to cut down on the walks and then get back up to Rochester.
2008 Projection: half season in New Britain, then up to Rochester
Potential: #4 starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
25
Denard Span OF
24
2008 Teams: Rochester Red Wings
Acquired: Twins 1st round pick in 2002 out of Tampa Catholic
Denard Span came to spring training this year clearly on a mission to prove everyone wrong. I think it is fair to say that he has done just that. He had a very good spring, doing all the things that the Twins could have asked. As a leadoff hitter, he has taken a lot of pitches, taken walks, stolen bases (even at a good percentage). When called up to the Twins, he played RF, a position that he had not played as a pro. After he was sent down, Span crushed the ball and did very well until he landed on the DL with a broken bone in his hand. Before that, he hit home runs in three consecutive games. Now, he isn't suddenly a power hitter, but he has shown that he doesn't have to be just a slap-happy hitter either. I think that if need be he can be a solid big league centerfielder. Defensively in center, I think he is excellent. At the corners, he just needs some time. So, when he comes back from the DL, I hope he gets to move around a little bit. For the Twins, I see Span primarily as a #4 or #5 type of outfielder. If dealt to another team, he could be another Juan Pierre type.
2008 Projection: playing CF in Rochester again, will get back to the Twins.
Potential: solid prototypical leadoff hitter.
Could be in Minnesota in: 2008
#2
4
Deibinson Romero 3B - 21
2008 Team: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: signed by Twins as free agent from Dominican Republic
Romero was a guy that I was really excited to see play a full season. We really didn't see much of him before his knee surgery, and what we saw did not induce a lot of confidence in him. He didn't hit, or hit for power, or walk much. He struck out a lot and committed a lot of errors. Some of that can be attributed to playing in the cold conditions for the first time in his life. Some of it is a reminder that he has a lot of development to go. He should be back in about a month, and when he comes back, I do expect that he will really have a strong second half, both with the bat and with the glove.
2008 Projection: 3B at Beloit
Potential: middle of the lineup hitter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2012
#
23
Brian Dinkelman
2B 24
2008 Team: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: Twins 8th round pick in 2006 out of McKendree College
Dinkelman needs to move up to New Britain soon. He has nothing more to prove at that level. He is a solid 2B who can hit for average, get on base via the walk, take a lot of pitches, hit a lot of doubles. He plays adequate defense. He is ready for the challenge and because of his age, he really should move up. So far this season, Dinkelman is batting .314/414/.438 with 17 doubles. He is also 8-9 in stolen base attempts. A left-handed hitter, Dinkelman is actually hitting .391/.462/.543 against southpaws. Although he went to a small school, and he isn't even 6-0 tall, he is a natural-born hitter and will be ready for the Eastern League. I anticipate he will be promoted after the Florida State League all-star game.
2008 Projection: FM's 2B. Midseason move to NB
Potential: solid #1 or 2 hitter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2010
#22 Dustin Martin OF 24
2008 Teams: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: in July 30, 2007 trade with New York Mets for Luis CastilloMartin has been out of the lineup with hamstring tightness a couple of times this year already, but when he does play, he has played quite well. He is hitting .316/.384/.443 with 15 extra base hits and 13 stolen bases. He had enough speed to play an adequate centerfield, and he has enough doubles-power to maybe be a successful corner outfielder at some point. You thought Dinkelman hit well against lefties, how about the lefty-hitting Martin? Well, this year he has hit .436/.515/.509 against them. I think we can all agree that Luis Castillo was not that good and the fact that the Mets gave him for more years is laughable. The Twins got a guy in Drew Butera that they feel can be a big league backup catcher. They also got Dustin Martin who can adequately play all three outfield positions and hit with some pop. That may turn out to be a trade that we really like in a couple of years.
2008 Projection: OF in New Britain
Potential: 4th OF that could start, solid all-around
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
21
Steven Tolleson IF
24
2008 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins 5th Round Pick in 2005 out of U. of South Carolina
Tolleson is one of the biggest moving prospects on the Top 50, and for him it's a good thing because the direction of the move was upward. Tolleson was left off of the preseason Top 50 list. He really has moved swiftly through the system. The middle infielder is just so consistent. He hits for average. He gets on base. He walks about about as much, if not more, than he strikes out. He has extra base power. He plays a very solid infield at three positions. He has a good arm. He is a solid base runner with ability to steal bases. He has big league pedigree. When you realize that he is doing a great job as a leadoff hitting at AA New Britain, doing many of the same things that Brian Dinkelman does, and he is essentially the same age, it is impossible not to rank Tolleson higher. He has put himself in position for a promotion to Rochester if need be. He likely could be a utility infielder at the big league level, but he has enough skill and baseball smarts to be a regular 2B.
2008 Projection: middle infielder in New Britain, probably all year
Potential: utility infielder
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
20
Juan Portes IF/OF 22
2008 Teams: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: Twins 15th round pick in 2004 out of Malden, Mass., HS
Portes was drafted late, but there were other reasons why he lasted so long. He has always been able to hit a little bit. He just hasn't had a consistent position. This year, his second in Ft. Myers, he has primarily played in the outfield, usually left field. I think that keeping Portes in Ft. Myers for a second year makes a lot of sense. He was good, but not great last year. His numbers are very much similar to what they ended up being last year. Hopefully what that means is that he will improve them in the second half and his season will look better. In his last seven games, he is 12 for 29 (.414) with three doubles and a homer. Again, he can hit, and he will hit. There is some chance that he will move up to New Britain, but I really believe it would be best for him just to finish off the whole season with the Miracle and get better with the glove and the bat.
2008 Projection: likely remain in the Ft. Myers outfield
Potential: potential solid bat
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
19
Brock Peterson 1B 24
2008 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins 49th round pick in 2002 out of Chehalis (WA) high school
Part of what made Brock Peterson so intriguing following his 2007 season was the change he made in the second half at New Britain. He went from striking out a lot, with few walks, to walking more than he struck out in the season's second half. Although I believed he was ready for AAA, the Twins sent him back to repeat AA (as he had repeated Ft. Myers). Peterson has certainly had his ups and downs this spring already, but his 17 walks and 45 strikeouts in 199 at bats are both disappointing. We can hope for a similar second half to last year. I would also like to see some consistent power. I still believe he has a chance, but he needs to regain that plate discipline.
2008 Projection: 1B/DH in Rochester, could move up to Rochester for some time
Potential: big league bat, could DH
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#18 Rene Tosoni OF 21
2008 Teams: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: Twins 36th round pick in 2005 out of Chipola College
It is so unfortunate that Rene Tosoni broke his leg earlier this month because he was really impressing to that point in the season. Consider, he was hitting .325/.430/.452. So, he was hitting for average. He was taking great at bats and walks. He even had a little extra base pop. Most impressive, however, in a season in which many prospects are repeating their level from last year, Tosoni had basically skipped a level and was still successful. Last year, he was one of the best hitters in the Appalachian League. When they won the championship, much thanks to him, he played in two games for Beloit during the regular season before being a starter on their run to the Midwest League championship series. He is a natural hitter. He is a very good outfielder with a strong arm. Hopefully Tosoni's leg will heal quickly and he can get back on the field yet this season.
2008 Projection: hopefully getting back to the Ft. Myers outfield
Potential: good all around outfielder
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
17
David Winfree
3B 22
2008 Teams: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins 13th round pick in 2003 out of Virginia Beach (VA) H.S.Some may think that I am ranking Winfree too high by placing him here. In his second season at New Britain, he is hitting just .224/.293/.434. His OPS is very close to what it ended at a year ago. But last year, he got to that point by being very good in the second half. I expect Winfree to again have a very good second half. But what he has done, in terms of power and production, so far this season also helps him get to this level. He has 11 doubles and 10 home runs already. Also, he just has a knack for driving in runs. It's uncanny, and that simply can't be ignored forever. He has cut down on his strikeouts, which is big. Remember also that he is learning a new defensive position, RF. He has several assists already. Finally, if people still believe in Chris Parmelee, and they certainly should, Winfree is less than two years older than Parmelee and two levels more advanced. When Winfree was in Beloit, he was the Twins minor league player of the year. I think Winfree still has a great chance of being a productive big league hitter.
2008 Projection: should stay in New Britain the rest of the season
Potential: Potential power hitting big league hitter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2010
#1
6
Brian Duensing LHP 25
2008 Teams: Rochester Red Wings
Acquired: Twins 3rd round draft pick in 2005 out U of Nebraska
Duensing had an excellent 2007, pitching in both New Britain and Rochester, and then heading off to pitch for Team USA in the World Cup. In fact, like Kevin Slowey the year before, Duensing was the starting pitcher in the championship game that the US team won. 2008 has not been as successful for Duensing to this point. He hasn't pitched as poorly as his 2-5 record would indicate, but not much better either. His ERA is 4.43. His WHIP is 1.33. I have been told, and it has been clear in box scores, that the problem has been one inning. Not one really bad inning on the year, which can affect the numbers of a reliever significantly, but one bad inning in most of his starts. He has a chance to be a solid back of the rotation starter and should get a chance to do that down the road. He will need to be added to the 40 man roster following this season, so in reality the Twins have 3+ years to figure out if he is a starter or a lefty reliever. He doesn't walk many, but he doesn't strike out many at all, so I'm thinking lefty specialist... which of course opens up the possibility of a Tom Glavine-like career, right?
2008 Projection: starting in Rochester for the whole season, possible September call up
Potential: good #4 pitcher
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#1
5
Erik Lis
DH 24
2008 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins 9th round pick in 2005 out of U. of Evansville
Erik Lis can flat-out hit. That is the sentence I used last fall. I think it is an overly used phrase, but I think it is quite appropriate for Lis. I was a little surprised when Lis started very slowly with the Rockcats. In April, he hit just .202/.264/.321. In May, he hit .360/.405/.600 with 18 doubles and two homers in 100 at bats. Simply put, that is remarkable! I have stated several times that he is a doubles machine. Expect more of the same in the second half. I expect that Lis will remain with the Rockcats throughout the season, unless there is a huge need with the Twins. Really the lone negative with Lis is his defense, and I have been told her works very hard at it. Fortunately, the Twins are an American League team and have the DH. The prospect of Lis being ready within the next two seasons may help the Twins determine other roster situations and contracts.
2008 Projection: DH (maybe some LF or DH) at New Britain
Potential: big league bat, could DH
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
14
Chris Parmelee OF/1B
20
2008 Team: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 1st round pick in 2006 out of Chino Hills (CA) High School
The Twins top draft pick in '06 was sent back to Beloit for a second season, the goal for him to take a step forward from his first season in the Midwest League. Last year, he ended the season batting .239/.314/.414 with with 23 doubles, five triples and 15 home runs. This year, he is sitting at .219/.382/.458 with nine doubles, two triples and eight home runs. In other words, he is doing what he did in 2007, just to better levels. He isn't hitting for average at all, but he gets on base a lot and is hitting for even more power. Parmelee is really looking like a guy the Oakland A's of recent years would have loved! Actually, he is striking out even more. Last year, he struck out once every 3.6 plate appearances. This year, he is striking out more than once every 3.2 plate appearances. I struggle with where to place Parmelee because being able to make contact at the low levels should not be this difficult, even for a top level prospect and yet, the power production is there. It will be very important for him to have a strong second half.
2008 Projection: playing RF and 1B in Beloit all year
Potential: home run, strikeout or walk guy in the big leagues
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
13
Luke Hughes 3B/2B/CF 23
2008 Team: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: signed as free agent in 2002 out of Australia
Clearly Luke Hughes is the prospect to move furthest up the list for Twins prospects this year. Clearly, he has been the best performing Twins prospect of the 2008 season. Seemingly it came out of nowhere in that I have never had him on a Top 50 Twins prospect list in four years worth of lists. Even though he was an All Star in the Eastern League last year, it was as a utility player, so I didn't make a lot of of it. After toiling in the lower levels of the minor leagues from 2003 through 2006, he moved to New Britain for the 2007 season. He did well for the season, he hit .283/.356/.438 with 29 extra base hits including nine homers. But his fast start this year is incredible. He is currently hitting .339/.411/.613 with nine doubles, three triples and 12 home runs. Coming from Australia makes the fact that he struggled for several years while developing make sense, but this? Check out these splits... against lefties this year, Hughes is hitting .451/.533/.745 with three doubles and four homers. He has nine walks and seven strikeouts. Against righties, he is hitting .295/.361/.568 with six doubles, three triples and eight homers. He has just 14 walks to go with 35 strikeouts. Hughes missed several games because of a hamstring injury. It has been rumored that, if not for the injury, Hughes would have been promoted to Rochester last week instead of Felix Molina. He is ready to move up and really should. It will be interesting to see how he adapts to AAA.
2008 Projection: playing 3B, CF, other for Rochester within the next couple of weeks.
Potential: likely utility infielder/outfielder who won't hurt the Twins if he has to start for an extended period.
Could be in Minnesota in: 2008
#12 Wilson Ramos C 20
2008 Teams: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: signed as free agent out of Dominican Republic
The Twins don't have many catchers in their system that play basically every day. At Low A Beloit, they actually have three catchers who are all getting equivalent playing time. But Wilson Ramos is one who plays every day. When he isn't catching, he is generally the team's DH. Reports are that Ramos can hit and that he can also do a fine job behind the plate and has a strong arm. I am told that he is a hard worker and there are several things that he still has a ways to go to get to the levels he would need to compete for a big league job. Like you've noticed with several others on these lists, the Ramos of April was not as good as the Ramos of May, and prospect list makers who are high on Ramos like to believe that the trend will continue in coming months. In April, he hit just .203 with one homer. In May, he hit .257 but had seven home runs. He is showing the power. I would like to see him hit for some average as well. He could be higher on this list and many will likely have him higher on their lists. I'm just still not convinced. For me, there are just a few question marks remaining.
2008 Projection: spending the season in Ft. Myers catching and DHing
Potential: good hit DH, and a catcher who could move Mauer
Could be in Minnesota in: 2010
#1
1
Joe Benson OF
20
2008 Team: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 2nd round pick in 2006 out of Joliet (IL) High School
Like Chris Parmelee, Joe Benson is back at Beloit for the second straight year. In 2007, he was a bit over his head the first half of the season but got better throughout the year. Benson struggled again this April, but his OPS in May jumped by .160 points, from .651 to .811. In every way, he improved in May. His batting average was up 40 points, but more importantly, his slugging percentage jumped. He went from six extra base hits in April to 14 extra base hits in May. He walked the same about, but although he still struck out way too much, he did cut down that rate a bit. Obviously that is something that will be a work in progress and won't be fixed overnight. The goal for Benson (and every player, of course) is to improve each month. If Benson does that, he will be ready for Ft. Myers next year and will have the type of numbers that will impress. If this list were based solely on potential and athleticism and ceiling, I think Benson would be as high as anyone on the list. His speed, size, strength, arm and ability to take some walks are pretty impressive already. His ability to make more contact will be what takes him to that next level.
2008 Projection: Should spend the rest of the year in Beloit
Potential: a 30/30 type of hitter, with a gold glove
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
10
Trevor Plouffe SS 21
2008 Teams: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins 1st round pick in 2004 out of Crespi Carmelite H.S. (CA)
For the last couple of years, I have thought that Plouffe would have been better served by repeating a level, either Beloit or Ft. Myers. They kept pushing him up as there was no one really ahead of him at shortstop. Then last year, he was a doubles machine and played very well for New Britain. And now this is the year that he is repeating a level. There still isn't a good shortstop at the level ahead of him, but I also do not think that a second season at New Britain is a bad thing. Plouffe isn't dominating the level even this year. He is hitting a solid .276/.336/.418 with 13 doubles, three triples and three homers. I expect those numbers to go up over the second half of the season, and the thing I really would like to see from Plouffe is more consistency. He has hot streaks followed by cold streaks. He also has just seven errors to this point in the season which I think is very positive. He is known to have great range, great hands and a very strong arm. Plouffe will need to be added to the 40 man roster following this season, so there is absolutely no rush to promote him to the big leagues, or even to Rochester. The Twins can and should remain patient with him.
2008 Projection: a lot of SS in New Britain, maybe a late season AAA promotion
Potential: good glove, solid bat SS
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
9
David Bromberg
RHP 20
2008 Team: Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 32nd round pick in 2005 out of Pacific Palisades (CA) HS
Bromberg is one of those guys who first appeared near the bottom of the Top 50 two years ago after his GCL debut. Last year, he jumped up quite a bit after a great year in Elizabethton where he was named the Appy League pitcher of the year. He has certainly been someone to watch since he signed, but one number was a little alarming, and that was the walk total. It is clearly something he and his coaches are certain to be working on. It has paid off already in Beloit this season. That said, it is still the one thing that he most needs to work on. He still is walking some, and he has a lot of three-ball counts. To continue moving up and become more dominant, he will have to become more efficient. Right now, he's got a good fastball, that sinks, and a very good curveball. After his excellent start last night, he is now 4-3 with a 4.60 ERA. In 62.2 innings, he still has too many walks (28), but he also has 73 strikeouts. In other words, there is plenty of room for improvement, but he is young, projectable (he's listed at 6-5, 241 pounds) has a strong arm and the stuff to keep moving up.
2008 Projection: Beloit rotation all year
Potential: better control would make him a potential #2 starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
8
Kevin Mulvey RHP 23
2008 Team: Rochester Red Wings
Acquired: Traded to Twins with Carlos Gomez, Philip Humber and Deolis Guerra for Johan Santana in March 2008
Much like Kevin Slowey dominated AAA last year and needs to be in the big leagues learning and adjusting, Kevin Mulvey dominated AA in 2007 and needs to work through his adjustments at the AAA level. The International League has certainly been a challenge for Mulvey, and consistency seems to be the biggest issue. He began the season with four very good starts. Then four of his next five starts were not very good. His last three starts have been solid again, so hopefully he is making those adjustments and can carry them through the second half. So far this year, he is 3-7 with an ERA of 3.87. Known for his control, he has 25 walks in 61.1 innings, so that has to improve. However, he also has 54 strikeouts, which are more than I would have expected. Mulvey will definitely have to refine his control to be a big league starter in the next couple of years. As a 2006 draft pick out of college, the Twins don't have to even add them to their 40 man roster until after the 2009 season. So, they can, and should, be patient with him and make sure he figures things out.
2008 Projection: starting for Rochester all season
Potential: 4th starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
7
Alex Burnett
RHP
20
2008 Team: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: Twins 12th round pick in 2005 from Huntington Beach, CA
Technically, I think we could say that Alex Burnett is the #4 starter for the Ft. Myers Miracle. Well, when your fourth starter is 4-2 with a 3.07 ERA and has a 1.33 WHIP, and he won't turn 21 until late July, you've got a pretty strong rotation, and you're going to have a team to compete for titles. In 58.2 innings, Burnett has walked just 17. But one concern is that he isn't finding a way to miss bats. In other words, he has given up 61 hits, and he has struck out just 26 batters. It is equally noteworthy that Burnett has allowed just one home run this season. Again, I acknowledge that I am higher on Burnett than I think most are. Scouts are less high on him because he is not very tall, barely six foot. I will remember that during Beloit's playoff run last year, it was Burnett, and not Tyler Robertson, who was named the team's Ace. Now, that of course doesn't mean anything by itself, but it tells me that his coaches and teammates really like having him on the mound, and want him on the mound in big games. Clearly he's got work to do, and he seems like a candidate to move up just one year at a time. He's actually young enough that if he needs to repeat AA (probably because of the Twins pitching depth), that will only help him long term.
2008 Projection: starter at Ft. Myers
Potential: potential to be a #3 starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
6
Anthony Swarzak
RHP 22
2008 Teams: New Britain Rockcats
Acquired: Twins 2nd round pick in 2004 out of Ft. Lauderdale, FLI really thought that 2008 would be a big year for Swarzak. I thought he would start the season in New Britain and dominate the league as he did late last season and quickly be promoted to Rochester and be a guy we would be clamoring to see in Minnesota. But it hasn't been that easy for him. He is 3-2 with a 4.18 ERA. In 56 innings, he has 18 walks and 55 strikeouts. John Manual informed us during the winter that Swarzak really is a two-pitch pitcher and if he doesn't develop that third pitch, he won't become what we all hope. In my mind, he is pitching pretty well now with just two pitches, and I assume he is working on a third pitch, and maybe even a fourth. I think Swarzak could be very good. The strikeouts are encouraging. In April, he was 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts. In six May starts, his ERA jumped to 6.08. He just needs to have a big second half to earn a promotion late in this season.
2008 Projection: As of right now, I see no reason for him to move up, so he should stay in New Britain
Potential: #3-type starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
5
Jeff Manship RHP 23
2008 Team: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: Twins 14th round pick in 2006 out of Notre Dame University
After Manship threw a complete game, four hit shutout last night, I thought about moving Manship up the list even a little further. I stuck by my ranking. Manship is to the point now where he is completely dominating the Florida State League and has to be challenged by moving up to AA. He is now 7-2 with a 2.72 ERA. In 72.2 innings, he has walked just 20 and struck out 60. He mixes a good fastball with an ever-improving changeup that he has gained complete confidence in. And, he is best known for his curveball. So, he's got three pitches that project to be average or better at the big league level. Honestly, if he was already in AA, he would likely be a couple of spots higher than this on the list, but he doesn't make that decision. All he can control is how he does on the mound. I think that make up is another strong suit for Manship, so he has handled it perfectly, worked on the things he needed to, and he has pitched very well.
2008 Projection: Should move up to New Britain after the FSL All-Star game
Potential: #2 starter
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#
4
Danny Valencia 3B 23
2008 Team: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: Twins 19th round pick in 2006 out of Miami
As is the case with Jeff Manship, it is ridiculous that Danny Valencia is still toiling in Ft. Myers. I think that the Twins were wise to have Valencia start in Ft. Myers. He got off to a good start, then went in a slump for a week or so. Then he made some adjustments, and now it is time for that recall. I expect him to move up to New Britain right after the FSL All Star game as well. After a 3-3 game last night, Valencia is now hitting .347/.409/.554 with 19 doubles, three triples and five home runs. He also has driven in 44 runs. He doesn't walk a lot, but he also doesn't strike out terribly often. He can hit, hit for power, run a little bit. He can also field the 3B position very well and has a strong arm. In my mind, Valencia will do well playing 3B in New Britain and will really take off on prospect lists after playing in the Arizona Fall League. I think Mike Lamb and Matt Macri will be a nice platoon at 3B in 2008 and 2009. But I think that Danny Valencia will be ready to the be the Twins opening day 3B when the new ballpark opens in 2010.
2008 Projection: Might start back in FM, should move up to New Britain
Potential: big league corner infielder with power
Could be in Minnesota in: 2009
#3
Ben Revere OF
20
2008 Team: Extended Spring Training, Beloit Snappers
Acquired: Twins 1st round pick in 2007 out of Louisville, KY
Many were surprised that the Twins had Ben Revere start the season in Extended Spring Training. I admit that I was. And yet with Joe Benson and Chris Parmelee repeating Beloit, it made some sense to just show some patience. I was getting very good reports on what he was showing in Ft. Myers, and then with a couple of injuries, Revere was promoted in late April. He has not stopped hitting since. Two or three hit games are common place. He gets on base and he goes. I have been told by some that he and Benson are both just about as fast as Carlos Gomez. Through last night, Revere was hitting .419/.463/.596 with 11 doubles, 5 triples, a homer and 20 RBI. He has walked 11 times while striking out just ten times, which you know I really like. He has stolen 16 bases (admittedly in 26 attempts). We have heard that he has a long way to go defensively. My initial thought was that he should just spend the entire season in Beloit. But his numbers have given the Twins brass a tough decision. Should they promote him? Well, consider this... Revere is just two months younger than Joe Benson and Chris Parmelee and many thought they should have moved up to Ft. Myers to start the season. Revere is not young for his high school draft class, so I think that if he's still hitting well in 2-3 weeks, a promotion is the right thing to do.
2008 Projection: roaming the Beloit outfield
Potential: great top of the order bat, 60+ steals
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
2
Deolis Guerra RHP 19
2008 Team: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: Traded to Twins with Carlos Gomez, Philip Humber and Deolis Guerra for Johan Santana in March 2008
Well, as you know, age to level of competition is a big thing for me in prospect lists. Guerra turned 19 in April. I think from a development standpoint, he should be very happy to be with the Twins. They have many pitching prospects so they can afford to be patient with their top young pitchers. Now, Guerra is currently 6-1 as a starter with the Miracle, but that is not to say that he doesn't have a lot to work on. Primary among things to work on would be control. In just 55.1 innings, he has just 32 strikeouts, but more alarming are the 26 walks. That's more than he had all of 2008. That tells me that he should be able to correct the issue. Now, even with the walks, his ERA is just 4.23, and he is giving up less than a hit an inning. He is young. He is 6-5 and 200 pounds. He throws fairly hard already and should just keep adding some velocity. Reports indicate that the changeup will be his best pitch, which I think is exciting. If he can round it out by developing a more consistent breaking ball, he will be a special pitcher.
2008 Projection: starter at Ft. Myers
Potential: potential ace
Could be in Minnesota in: 2011
#
1
Tyler Robertson LHP
20
2008 Team: Ft. Myers Miracle
Acquired: Twins 3rd round pick in 2006 from Citrus Heights, CA
I think I surprised a lot of you last September when I named Robertson the Twins Top Prospect. Well, I think that I am a little surprised myself that he has performed as well as he has and is right back in the #1 spot this time around. So far this season, he has gone 4-2 with a 2.76 ERA. In 65.1 innings, he has given up 63 hits, walked 22 and struck out 58 strikeouts. That is a WHIP of 1.30. Now, his first start in May, he gave up five runs on 14 hits and a walk in five innings. Take that one start away and he has an ERA of 2.23 and a WHIP of 1.16. In his past three starts, he has given up just three runs over 22 innings. He is left handed. He is tall and strong. He has the pitches. He has the baseball background. He is still very young. Remember, he started the 2007 season at Extended Spring Training, but because of injury, he got promoted to Beloit. He pitched well, but in reality, he is already a year ahead of where he should be. So, as well as he has pitched, don't expect a promotion to AA New Britain. Not even with the Dodgers promoting their 20 year old lefty-throwing top prospect Clayton Kershaw to the big leagues already.
2008 Projection: starter at Ft. Myers
Potential: potential ace
Could be in Minnesota in: 2010
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