Friday,
November 5, 2010
What about Risk?
Yesterday may have been one of the busiest days of my
life, and seemingly everything was really important, so I apologize for not
blogging more. I am very happy that it is Friday and I look forward to a
three-day weekend away. By the way, to all the deer hunters, good luck, but be
safe. Not much more annoying than hearing about people’s hunting stories that
involve drinking! So again, be safe!
I too infrequently post reader e-mails here, but I
thought I’d quickly post a good one that I got from Luke W yesterday that I
think is thought provoking. I happen to completely agree with it. What do you
think?
I understand they can afford it but to give Lee a 120 million is
ridiculous. He is 32 years old, he was throwing 88mph
and he got beat twice by what everybody says was a weak lineup.
Compare him and Barry Zito. Similar velocity, each have a Cy Young. Total wins before he went
free agent Zito-102…Lee 102. Barry Zito never posted a WHIP above a 1.40 before he left
Oakland. Lee has gone over a 1.40…three times. I say let the Yankees have him
just be one more 100 million dollar pitcher that will never pitch a better
season that before he went free agent.
I would add that there is a decent likelihood that it
may take even a little more than $120 million to lock up the lefty Lee. I think
this is a great point. There have not been many $100 million pitchers who have
been terribly successful after signing their $100 million deals. Generally,
they sign them when there are 30-32 years old which means that they go until
the pitcher is 37-38. Most pitchers aren’t still good at that age. Mike Hampton. Kevin Brown. Zito. Johan Santana
has already been experiencing arm issues since signing his six year, $137
million deal with the Mets. CC Sabathia has remained a top pitcher, so far, but he was
also younger when he signed his big deal. Of course we don’t know what will
happen. Teams have to take risks.
I will also be posting FB Picks for Week 9 shortly, so
check back.
What are your thoughts? And, please always feel
free to e-mail me. I won’t always post them, but some create really
interesting discussions. Of course, you can also leave comments here.