Wednesday, June 3, 2009

SethSpeaks.net Top 50

Minnesota Twins Prospects

Part 2: Prospects 21-35

 

In case you missed my posting earlier today, the Twins promoted Carlos Gutierrez and Alex Burnett from Ft. Myers to New Britain where they will join the Rockcats pitching staff. I would think there could be more subsequent moves to follow, so I will try to stay on top of that. Burnett can be used to fill Rob Delaney’s spot. Carlos Gutierrez likely will start. Cole Devries and Matt Fox have both been quite good this season. Jeff Manship has been better of late, and Jay Rainville has been good enough to stick around. Ryan Mullins is the guy who may be out of the starting picture. Or, maybe the Twins decided that the 26 year old Fox is deserving of a AAA opportunity. I would be supportive of that. As I hear any new information, I will keep people updated. Thanks!

UPDATE – With Wilson Ramos coming off of the Disabled List in New Britain, Danny Lehmann has returned to Ft. Myers.

 

After looking at Twins prospects 36-50 yesterday, today we will look at my choices for the Twins Prospects 21-35. Again, let me know what you think. In the next days, I will continue to work my way up the Twins prospect list until finally giving you my selections for the Top 10 Twins prospects. I hope you enjoy this and again, please feel free to comment.

 

#35 – Ramon Santana – SS – 22 (6/20/86)

2009 Team: Beloit Snappers

Acquired: signed by Twins as free agent from Venezuela in November 2004

 

Santana is tiny. Like, 5-9, 150 pounds kind of tiny. But when the ball hits his bat, it explodes. Some have told me that pound for pound, he may have as much power as anyone in the system. 2009 has been a breakout year for Santana. He actually first came up to Beloit in 2007. Last year, he hit .241/.316/.404, but he had 12 doubles and eight home runs to go with nine stolen bases. This year, he has been arguably the team’s top hitter. He is currently hitting .364/.443/.589 with nine doubles and five home runs. He did miss a couple of weeks with an injury. His defense apparently leaves much to be desired yet. But hopefully he will continue to hit and give Twins fans hope for a middle infielder of the future. Hopefully he can move up to Ft. Myers this year and see how it goes there.

 

2009 Projection: should move up to Ft. Myers soon.

Potential: must improve D, but could eventually be a middle infield option for the Twins

Could be in Minnesota in: 2012

 

#34 – Bobby Lanigan – RHP – 22 (5/5/87)

2009 Teams: Beloit Snappers

Acquired: Twins 3rd round pick in 2008 out of Adelphi University

 

Although Lanigan comes from a small college, he was not an overdraft for the Twins. He was quite well known at the time of the draft. He throws in the low 90s, but he has a terrific slider. He signed last year and had a solid year at Elizabethton. This year, he has been in the Beloit Snappers starting rotation and been inconsistent, to say the least. His most recent start, he threw seven shutout innings. The two previous starts, he gave up ten hits in less than five innings. Overall, he is 5-3 with a 5.76 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Opponents are hitting .290 against him. I do expect him to have a strong second half.

 

2009 Projection: will stay in the Snappers starting rotation the whole season.

Potential: mid-rotation starter

Could be in Minnesota in: 2013

 

#33 – Martire Garcia – LHP – 19 (3/1/90)

2009 Teams: Extended Spring Training

Acquired: Twins signed as free agent in Feb. 2007 out of Dominican Republic

He is so young. He is very thing. He had a lot of room to grow. And he’s just 19 years old, so he will. He is also left handed and throws hard. He was arguably the top pitcher on the GCL team a year ago. This year, he could be the age of the E-Twins at just 19 years old. He has a long ways to go to get to the big leagues, but he is worth getting excited about.

2009 Projection: Extended Spring Training, season starting at Elizabethton

Potential: so far away, but talent to be middle of the rotation starter

Could be in Minnesota in: 2014

 

#32 – Juan Morillo – RHP – 25 (11/5/83)

2009 Teams: Minnesota Twins, Rochester Red Wings

Acquired: Claimed by Twins in April 2009 from Rockies

 

Simply put, there are not a lot of guys who throw over 95 mph consistently or who touch 100 mph. Control is clearly Morillo’s issue, but if that can be honed even just to a respectable level, Morillo could be a back of the bullpen arm that could be a major contributor. The Twins claimed him after he was DFA’d by the Rockies. They were fortunate that no team claimed him when they sent him through waivers. It is absolutely worth the investment. And realize this… although he has been around long enough to go through three option years, he is basically the same age as Anthony Slama.

 

2009 Projection: would be great if he could spend the rest of the season in the Red Wings bullpen

Potential: late inning power arm

Could be in Minnesota in: 2009

 

#31 – BJ Hermsen – RHP – 19 (12/1/89)

2009 Teams: Extended Spring Training

Acquired: Twins 6th round pick in 2008 out of high school in Iowa

 

When the Twins drafted Hermsen in the 6th round, most people thought it was a long-shot that they could sign him. It was believed that he would go to Oregon State. That is, in part, why he was available in the 6th round when most ‘experts’ thought he would go in the 2nd or 3rd round. A half-million coaxed him to sign. I think he will be starting the short season as a member of the GCL Twins starting staff. He has very good pitches already. He just needs plenty of time to continue to improve each of them. He has great size. He is the kind of guy that within the next year or two, he could fly up this list. 

 

2009 Projection: likely starting for the GCL Twins

Potential: top of the rotation starter

Could be in Minnesota in: 2015

 

#30 – Jose Morales – C – 26 (2/20/83)

2009 Teams: Minnesota Twins, Rochester Red Wings

Acquired: Twins 3rd round pick in 2001 out of high school in Puerto Rico

 

With Joe Mauer missing the first month of the season, there was quite the competition in spring between Morales and Drew Butera. Morales could hit. Butera could play defense. But Morales made the team and in two stints with the big league club, he has hit .358/.424/.415 in 53 at bats. In 60 at bats at Rochester, he is hitting .277/.358/.346. In his minor league career, he has shown an ability to hit for average, but his walk rate so far in 2009 is definitely new and I would expect that to drop. He is a slap hitter with very little power. I personally thought that he did a decent job behind the plate. He is a good athlete and blocks the ball well. Of course, he does need to try to improve his throwing, but as a backup catcher, you’re not looking for perfect. Morales has done all he has been asked to do and should be the frontrunner to be the team’s backup catcher for 2010.  

 

2009 Projection: Twins 3rd catcher, catching and DHing in Rochester.

Potential: OK starting catcher, excellent backup catching option

Could be in Minnesota in: 2007, 2009

 

#29 – Deibinson Romero – 3B – 22 (9/24/86) 

2009 Team: Ft. Myers Miracle

Acquired: signed by Twins as free agent from Dominican Republic in July 2004

Romero became a prospect because he hit for average and showed good power in 2006 and 2007 in the Twins’ short season leagues. 2008 was almost a lost season for Romero at Beloit as he had two major injuries. The first was a knee injury that meant surgery and cost him time. The second was a broken leg that cost him the rest of his season. Despite that, he is highly regarded in the organization and was still added to the Twins’ 40 man roster after the season. He was pushed to Ft. Myers this season where he has had some ups and downs. He does have 11 doubles on the season, but no other extra base hits. He is hitting just .206/.280/.273. His walk rate is actually nearly double what it has been in the past. He has nine errors at 3B on the season, but I am hearing mixed opinions on his defensive play. Hopefully he will take off in the second half.  

2009 Projection: 3B at Ft. Myers all season

Potential: middle of the lineup hitter

Could be in Minnesota in: 2012

#28 – David Winfree – RF – 23 (8/5/85)

2009 Teams: Rochester Red Wings
Acquired
: Twins 13th round pick in 2003 out of Virginia Beach (VA) H.S.

You almost have to do a double-take when you see that Winfree is just 23 years old still. He is in his seventh season in the Twins organization, and has just continued to work his way up the system. He was invited to big league camp and I think he made a very strong impression. After two years at AA, he made the move to the Red Wings this season. He has provided the team with much-needed power and run production from the right side of the plate. In 45 games this year, he has 12 doubles, two triples and eight home runs. He has plenty of holes in his swing, so he will likely never hit for average. It would be great if he would walk more, but his strikeout rate has not increased as he has moved up the ladder. That said, a three walk to 42 strikeout rate isn’t exactly good. But Winfree has improved. He is not a great defensive right fielder, but I am told he has plenty of arm to play the position. It will be very interesting to see how his second half goes.  

2009 Projection: should spend season in Rochester as DH and RF.
Potential
: Potential power hitting big league hitter
Could be in Minnesota in
: 2010

 

#27 – Cole DeVries – RHP – 24 (2/12/85)

2009 Team: New Britain Rockcats

Acquired: Free Agent signing in 2006 out of U. of Minnesota

 

Most people have assumed the Devries would top out at Ft. Myers, but he was the Miracle’s top, most consistent starter in 2008. Then the assumption becomes that he couldn’t handle AA. Well, he has probably been the Rockcats best starter this season. In 10 starts, he is 4-4 with a 2.68 ERA. He has good control which is great because he does not strike many batters out. He has added velocity, has a good curveball and an improving change up. He is known as a very hard worker and quite the competitor, so eventually people may be surprised when he is a big league pitcher. And he will probably do very well there too.

   

2009 Projection: starting in New Britain, possible late season promotion to Rochester

Potential: long relief/5th starter

Could be in Minnesota in: late 2010

 

#26 – Deolis Guerra – RHP – 20 (4/17/89)

2009 Team: Ft. Myers Miracle

Acquired: Traded to Twins with Carlos Gomez, Philip Humber and Deolis Guerra for Johan Santana in March 2008

 

If you look at his numbers (4-4, 4.47 ERA, 1.39 WHIP), they don’t stand out. But if you compare his numbers so far in 2009 to those in 2008, there is improvement. He is giving up about the same number of hits, but his HR rate has been cut. His walk rate has been cut in half. He is striking more out (although still not many). Improvements are being made. Reports are that he is touching 92 on the radar gun at times. Improvement is what matters. I know people hate to hear it, but at 20 years of age, Guerra could (or maybe should) be in Extended Spring Training awaiting and opportunity to maybe pitch at Elizabethton. That is another indication of just how crazy the Mets were in their promotions of him. The Twins are wisely being very patient with him. His size and talent still indicate potential top flight starter. It’s just a matter of how (and of course, if) he gets there. He drops down the list because it’s becoming harder and harder to project that high ceiling.  

 

2009 Projection: starter at Ft. Myers, possible mid-season promotion

Potential: potential ace

Could be in Minnesota in: 2012

 

#25 – Whit Robbins – 1B – 24 (9/25/84)

2009 Teams: New Britain Rockcats

Acquired: Twins 4th round pick in 2006 out of Georgia Tech

Hopefully Robbins is able to stay healthy all seasons because at AA New Britain this year, he is putting up the type of numbers that I think the Twins hoped for when they made him their fourth round pick in 2006 out of Georgia Tech. During his junior year with the Yellowjackets, he hit .352/.468/.595. Through 44 games this year, he is hitting .331/.405/.530 with 13 doubles, a triple and six home runs. Although his walk rate has come back down to normal (very good) levels, his strikeout rate has not suffered at all. He has become the middle of the lineup type of presence that the Twins would hope for.  

2009 Projection: Season at 1B at New Britain, unless logjam in Rochester is cleaned out

Potential: could be a solid major league 1B

Could be in Minnesota in: 2010

 

#24 – Brian Dinkelman – 2B – 25 (11/10/83)

2009 Teams : New Britain Rockcats

Acquired: Twins 8th round pick in 2006 out of McKendree College

 

Dinkelman struggled with the bat for the first time in his career last year after he was promoted to AA. He got off to a slow start this season as well, but soon after, he caught fire and hasn’t stopped hitting. He began the season at the bottom of the order, but recently, he has been hitting in the third spot of the Twins lineup. Through 46 games, he is now hitting .335/.421/.476 with 11 doubles, two triples and three home runs. Since he would be more of a top of the order type of hitter (see Twins need for a #2 hitter so they can move Mauer back to #3), I like that he has 23 walks and 22 strikeouts on the season. Although he is far from young to be deemed a top prospect (see Slama, Tolleson), he has to be considered as a guy who could really help the Twins at 2B in the not-so-distant future.

 

2009 Projection: again, if logjam in Rochester infield can be cleared, he could move up.

Potential: solid #1 or 2 hitter

Could be in Minnesota in: 2010

 

#23 – Shooter Hunt – RHP – 22 (8/16/86)

2009 Teams: Beloit Snappers

Acquired: Twins supplemental 1st round pick in 2008 out of Tulane University

 

Here is what I wrote last September about Hunt when I ranked him the Twins #16 prospect: “… Beloit where we were reminded us of what caused him to slip down in the draft. Control. He made seven Midwest League starts and went 1-4 with a 5.46 ERA. However, in 31.1 innings, he struck out 34 hitters, but he walked way too many, 27. He also hit six batters. Thought of as an upper first round pick coming into the season, he walked 56 in 100+ innings during his junior year at Tulane… He will likely begin the 2009 season in Beloit where he will probably only spend about a half season… if he has control.” Well, he didn’t even spend a half year to this point in Beloit before he was sent elsewhere. But he was sent back to Extended Spring Training because that control issue just got worse and worse. This year in Beloit, in 17.2 innings, he gave up 15 hits, walked 33, threw seven wild pitches and hit several batters. You know all that. The numbers are what they are. However, I really struggled with where to rank him this time around. I couldn’t have him much higher, but at the same time, if (and hopefully when) he figured this control situation out, he still has what many believe to be great stuff, and at that time could still rise through the system quickly. It will be interesting to see what happens for him the rest of this season and how he is  treated as he moves forward.

 

2009 Projection: it’d be nice for him to get back to Beloit and contribute

Potential: Potential #2 type of pitcher if he gains control of his pitches.

Could be in Minnesota in: 2012

 

#22 – Evan Bigley – OF – 22 (3/9/87)

2009 Teams: Beloit Snappers, Ft. Myers Miracle

Acquired: Twins 10th round pick in 2008 out of Dallas Baptist U.

After signing quickly with the Twins, Bigley went to Elizabethton where he hit like crazy! He hit .300/360/.587 with 13 doubles, 14 homers and 47 RBI in 53 games. He began this season in Beloit where he played in 25 games. He hit .307/.340/.446 with nine extra base hits and 22 RBI in 25 games. He did have three walks and 19 strikeouts. He was promoted to Ft. Myers when Joe Benson went on the Disabled List and got off to a fast start. He has cooled some and is now hitting .266/.347/.281. He has just one extra base hit in 64 at bats. Strikeouts are still a concern. But he has tremendous power potential that I’m certain will show after the adjustment to the new league. He is worth watching as a right handed, power hitter in the Twins future.

2009 Projection: rest of the season in the Ft. Myers outfield

Potential: all-around hitting OF

Could be in Minnesota in: 2012

 

#21 – Steven Tolleson – IF – 25 (11/1/83)

2009 Teams: New Britain Rockcats, Rochester Red Wings

Acquired: Twins 5th Round Pick in 2005 out of U. of South Carolina

Tolleson had a great 2008 in New Britain. He performed well in the Arizona Fall League. He was added to the Twins 40 man roster. But then he came to spring training and missed time due to injury. He was sent back to New Britain and got off to a horrible start. In 38 games, he hit .258/.343/.391. Doesn’t sound good, but when you consider he was hitting in the mid-.100s into May, it tells you how good he was the last several weeks. It earned him a promotion to Rochester where he has hit .385 with two doubles in just four games. With Trevor Plouffe there, it is likely Tolleson will split time between SS and 2B the rest of the year. Unless the Twins do something drastic before then, Tolleson could go to camp next season competing with Nick Punto, Brendan Harris and Trevor Plouffe to be the team’s primary shortstop.  

2009 Projection: middle infielder in Rochester, possible September call up

Potential: utility infielder, with enough to be a starter

Could be in Minnesota in: 2009

 

So there you have it, my selections for Twins prospects 21-35. Be sure to check back tomorrow for my choices for #11-20, and again, later in the week, you will also get my Top 10 Twins Prospects. If you have any feedback, comments, opinions or suggestions, please feel free to Send me an e-mail, or leave your questions or comments here.

 

 

 

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